Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 693.344131 780.560093 877.763424 994.736001 1132.481253 1290.520167 1486.984693
2025-02-23 571.248164 687.530381 828.995130 1016.252521 1261.416863 1576.968936 2023.110247
2025-03-02 506.979303 635.935466 801.714566 1035.214334 1363.625111 1821.967455 2534.644657
2025-03-09 453.501238 587.213578 766.638203 1032.169685 1428.172695 2019.914366 3019.981352
2025-03-16 407.993293 541.830194 727.725906 1014.222857 1463.012820 2174.231001 3468.731345
2025-03-23 380.164211 516.931860 713.163257 1027.554910 1544.226963 2412.551162 4118.606701
2025-03-30 346.108970 479.168754 674.895766 998.104232 1549.842677 2522.282460 4558.750789
2025-04-06 317.968755 447.287750 641.786062 971.852927 1555.266435 2630.228148 5023.255609
2025-04-13 292.619892 417.331876 608.550586 940.910807 1546.837103 2708.995530 5446.754231
2025-04-20 282.279869 409.464876 609.185729 966.887635 1645.159105 3015.432333 6495.772656
2025-04-27 269.211060 396.124025 599.490535 973.207511 1706.511165 3257.867518 7478.847796
2025-05-04 260.177410 388.457376 598.330658 994.441375 1800.205810 3591.365720 8850.247102
2025-05-11 246.527944 373.024026 583.972924 992.122690 1851.075847 3853.546310 10193.875772
2025-05-18 238.241667 366.019664 583.832756 1017.584146 1967.696141 4313.186411 12471.572915
2025-05-25 229.694450 357.775716 580.498815 1035.925082 2071.471644 4771.357250 15079.380839
2025-06-01 218.971900 344.932607 567.584178 1032.980702 2124.988096 5108.804617 17485.975008
2025-06-08 207.260999 329.528169 548.601363 1014.999887 2138.807310 5335.853263 19610.316407
2025-06-15 200.440415 322.349765 544.479458 1028.347636 2234.036240 5846.713530 23638.978543
2025-06-22 189.112074 306.296496 522.060109 998.867536 2212.522156 5972.879724 25744.110280
2025-06-29 179.038930 291.961456 501.978875 972.590632 2195.616001 6112.555668 28121.189667
2025-07-06 169.201498 277.529991 480.747838 941.618506 2161.139610 6182.266471 30171.610502
2025-07-13 166.092106 275.429996 483.908227 967.620500 2292.760569 6918.135897 38077.138038
2025-07-20 161.157408 269.580795 479.016224 973.946527 2368.656397 7472.785744 45690.037366